Neil M Ferguson

InstitutionMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis
AddressLondon
United Kingdom
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    Publication Timeline
    COVID-19 publications
    Bar chart showing 42 Covid-19 publications, with a maximum of 5 publications in October 2020 and April 2021 and July 2021
    All Publications
    Bar chart showing 252 publications over 26 distinct years, with a maximum of 22 publications in 2021
    These graphs show COVID-19 publications by month since August 2019 and all publications written by authors of COVID-19 publications over the past 30 years.

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    Publication Field Summary
    This graph shows the number and percent of publications by field. Fields are based on how the National Library of Medicine (NLM) classifies the publications' journals and might not represent the specific topics of the publications. Note that an individual publication can be assigned to more than one field. As a result, the publication counts in this graph might add up to more than the number of publications the person has written. To see the data as text, click here.
    Publication List
    Publications listed below are automatically derived from MEDLINE/PubMed and other sources, which might result in incorrect or missing publications.
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    PMC Citations indicate the number of times the publication was cited by articles in PubMed Central, and the Altmetric score represents citations in news articles and social media. (Note that publications are often cited in additional ways that are not shown here.) Fields are based on how the National Library of Medicine (NLM) classifies the publication's journal and might not represent the specific topic of the publication. Translation tags are based on the publication type and the MeSH terms NLM assigns to the publication. Some publications (especially newer ones and publications not in PubMed) might not yet be assigned Field or Translation tags.) Click a Field or Translation tag to filter the publications.
    1. Perez-Guzman PN, Daunt A, Mukherjee S, Crook P, Forlano R, Kont MD, Løchen A, Vollmer M, Middleton P, Judge R, Harlow C, Soubieres A, Cooke G, White PJ, Hallett TB, Aylin P, Ferguson N, Hauck K, Thursz MR, Nayagam S. Clinical Characteristics and Predictors of Outcomes of Hospitalized Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019 in a Multiethnic London National Health Service Trust: A Retrospective Cohort Study. Clin Infect Dis. 2021 12 06; 73(11):e4047-e4057. PMID: 32766823.
      Citations: 34     Fields:    Translation:Humans
    2. Ohrnberger J, Segal AB, Forchini G, Miraldo M, Skarp J, Nedjati-Gilani G, Laydon DJ, Ghani A, Ferguson NM, Hauck K. The impact of a COVID-19 lockdown on work productivity under good and poor compliance. Eur J Public Health. 2021 10 26; 31(5):1009-1015. PMID: 34358291.
      Citations:    Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    3. Dorigatti I, Lavezzo E, Manuto L, Ciavarella C, Pacenti M, Boldrin C, Cattai M, Saluzzo F, Franchin E, Del Vecchio C, Caldart F, Castelli G, Nicoletti M, Nieddu E, Salvadoretti E, Labella B, Fava L, Guglielmo S, Fascina M, Grazioli M, Alvisi G, Vanuzzo MC, Zupo T, Calandrin R, Lisi V, Rossi L, Castagliuolo I, Merigliano S, Unwin HJT, Plebani M, Padoan A, Brazzale AR, Toppo S, Ferguson NM, Donnelly CA, Crisanti A. Author Correction: SARS-CoV-2 antibody dynamics and transmission from community-wide serological testing in the Italian municipality of Vo'. Nat Commun. 2021 Aug 12; 12(1):5020. PMID: 34385465.
      Citations:    Fields:    
    4. Mishra S, Scott JA, Laydon DJ, Flaxman S, Gandy A, Mellan TA, Unwin HJT, Vollmer M, Coupland H, Ratmann O, Monod M, Zhu HH, Cori A, Gaythorpe KAM, Whittles LK, Whittaker C, Donnelly CA, Ferguson NM, Bhatt S. Comparing the responses of the UK, Sweden and Denmark to COVID-19 using counterfactual modelling. Sci Rep. 2021 08 11; 11(1):16342. PMID: 34381102.
      Citations:    Fields:    Translation:Humans
    5. Thompson HA, Mousa A, Dighe A, Fu H, Arnedo-Pena A, Barrett P, Bellido-Blasco J, Bi Q, Caputi A, Chaw L, De Maria L, Hoffmann M, Mahapure K, Ng K, Raghuram J, Singh G, Soman B, Soriano V, Valent F, Vimercati L, Wee LE, Wong J, Ghani AC, Ferguson NM. Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Setting-specific Transmission Rates: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Clin Infect Dis. 2021 08 02; 73(3):e754-e764. PMID: 33560412.
      Citations: 27     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    6. Mishra S, Mindermann S, Sharma M, Whittaker C, Mellan TA, Wilton T, Klapsa D, Mate R, Fritzsche M, Zambon M, Ahuja J, Howes A, Miscouridou X, Nason GP, Ratmann O, Semenova E, Leech G, Sandkühler JF, Rogers-Smith C, Vollmer M, Unwin HJT, Gal Y, Chand M, Gandy A, Martin J, Volz E, Ferguson NM, Bhatt S, Brauner JM, Flaxman S. Changing composition of SARS-CoV-2 lineages and rise of Delta variant in England. EClinicalMedicine. 2021 Sep; 39:101064. PMID: 34401689.
      Citations: 14     
    7. Dorigatti I, Lavezzo E, Manuto L, Ciavarella C, Pacenti M, Boldrin C, Cattai M, Saluzzo F, Franchin E, Del Vecchio C, Caldart F, Castelli G, Nicoletti M, Nieddu E, Salvadoretti E, Labella B, Fava L, Guglielmo S, Fascina M, Grazioli M, Alvisi G, Vanuzzo MC, Zupo T, Calandrin R, Lisi V, Rossi L, Castagliuolo I, Merigliano S, Unwin HJT, Plebani M, Padoan A, Brazzale AR, Toppo S, Ferguson NM, Donnelly CA, Crisanti A. SARS-CoV-2 antibody dynamics and transmission from community-wide serological testing in the Italian municipality of Vo'. Nat Commun. 2021 07 19; 12(1):4383. PMID: 34282139.
      Citations: 6     Fields:    Translation:HumansCellsPHPublic Health
    8. Citations: 3     Fields:    Translation:Humans
    9. McCabe R, Kont MD, Schmit N, Whittaker C, Løchen A, Baguelin M, Knock E, Whittles LK, Lees J, Brazeau NF, Walker PG, Ghani AC, Ferguson NM, White PJ, Donnelly CA, Hauck K, Watson OJ. Modelling intensive care unit capacity under different epidemiological scenarios of the COVID-19 pandemic in three Western European countries. Int J Epidemiol. 2021 07 09; 50(3):753-767. PMID: 33837401.
      Citations: 1     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    10. Gaythorpe KAM, Bhatia S, Mangal T, Unwin HJT, Imai N, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Walters CE, Jauneikaite E, Bayley H, Kont MD, Mousa A, Whittles LK, Riley S, Ferguson NM. Children's role in the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic review of early surveillance data on susceptibility, severity, and transmissibility. Sci Rep. 2021 07 06; 11(1):13903. PMID: 34230530.
      Citations: 3     Fields:    Translation:Humans
    11. Knock ES, Whittles LK, Lees JA, Perez-Guzman PN, Verity R, FitzJohn RG, Gaythorpe KAM, Imai N, Hinsley W, Okell LC, Rosello A, Kantas N, Walters CE, Bhatia S, Watson OJ, Whittaker C, Cattarino L, Boonyasiri A, Djaafara BA, Fraser K, Fu H, Wang H, Xi X, Donnelly CA, Jauneikaite E, Laydon DJ, White PJ, Ghani AC, Ferguson NM, Cori A, Baguelin M. Key epidemiological drivers and impact of interventions in the 2020 SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in England. Sci Transl Med. 2021 07 14; 13(602). PMID: 34158411.
      Citations: 10     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    12. Christen P, D'Aeth JC, Løchen A, McCabe R, Rizmie D, Schmit N, Nayagam S, Miraldo M, Aylin P, Bottle A, Perez-Guzman PN, Donnelly CA, Ghani AC, Ferguson NM, White PJ, Hauck K. The J-IDEA Pandemic Planner: A Framework for Implementing Hospital Provision Interventions During the COVID-19 Pandemic. Med Care. 2021 05 01; 59(5):371-378. PMID: 33480661.
      Citations: 2     Fields:    Translation:Humans
    13. Laydon DJ, Mishra S, Hinsley WR, Samartsidis P, Flaxman S, Gandy A, Ferguson NM, Bhatt S. Modelling the impact of the tier system on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the UK between the first and second national lockdowns. BMJ Open. 2021 04 22; 11(4):e050346. PMID: 33888533.
      Citations: 1     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    14. Watson OJ, Alhaffar M, Mehchy Z, Whittaker C, Akil Z, Brazeau NF, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Hamlet A, Thompson HA, Baguelin M, FitzJohn RG, Knock E, Lees JA, Whittles LK, Mellan T, Winskill P, Howard N, Clapham H, Checchi F, Ferguson N, Ghani A, Beals E, Walker P. Leveraging community mortality indicators to infer COVID-19 mortality and transmission dynamics in Damascus, Syria. Nat Commun. 2021 04 22; 12(1):2394. PMID: 33888698.
      Citations: 3     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    15. Faria NR, Mellan TA, Whittaker C, Claro IM, Candido DDS, Mishra S, Crispim MAE, Sales FCS, Hawryluk I, McCrone JT, Hulswit RJG, Franco LAM, Ramundo MS, de Jesus JG, Andrade PS, Coletti TM, Ferreira GM, Silva CAM, Manuli ER, Pereira RHM, Peixoto PS, Kraemer MUG, Gaburo N, Camilo CDC, Hoeltgebaum H, Souza WM, Rocha EC, de Souza LM, de Pinho MC, Araujo LJT, Malta FSV, de Lima AB, Silva JDP, Zauli DAG, Ferreira ACS, Schnekenberg RP, Laydon DJ, Walker PGT, Schlüter HM, Dos Santos ALP, Vidal MS, Del Caro VS, Filho RMF, Dos Santos HM, Aguiar RS, Proença-Modena JL, Nelson B, Hay JA, Monod M, Miscouridou X, Coupland H, Sonabend R, Vollmer M, Gandy A, Prete CA, Nascimento VH, Suchard MA, Bowden TA, Pond SLK, Wu CH, Ratmann O, Ferguson NM, et al. Genomics and epidemiology of the P.1 SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus, Brazil. Science. 2021 05 21; 372(6544):815-821. PMID: 33853970.
      Citations: 234     Fields:    Translation:HumansCells
    16. Ragonnet-Cronin M, Boyd O, Geidelberg L, Jorgensen D, Nascimento FF, Siveroni I, Johnson RA, Baguelin M, Cucunubá ZM, Jauneikaite E, Mishra S, Watson OJ, Ferguson N, Cori A, Donnelly CA, Volz E. Genetic evidence for the association between COVID-19 epidemic severity and timing of non-pharmaceutical interventions. Nat Commun. 2021 04 12; 12(1):2188. PMID: 33846321.
      Citations: 5     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    17. Hogan AB, Winskill P, Watson OJ, Walker PGT, Whittaker C, Baguelin M, Brazeau NF, Charles GD, Gaythorpe KAM, Hamlet A, Knock E, Laydon DJ, Lees JA, Løchen A, Verity R, Whittles LK, Muhib F, Hauck K, Ferguson NM, Ghani AC. Within-country age-based prioritisation, global allocation, and public health impact of a vaccine against SARS-CoV-2: A mathematical modelling analysis. Vaccine. 2021 05 21; 39(22):2995-3006. PMID: 33933313.
      Citations: 7     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    18. Citations: 151     Fields:    Translation:Humans
    19. Citations: 39     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    20. Monod M, Blenkinsop A, Xi X, Hebert D, Bershan S, Tietze S, Baguelin M, Bradley VC, Chen Y, Coupland H, Filippi S, Ish-Horowicz J, McManus M, Mellan T, Gandy A, Hutchinson M, Unwin HJT, van Elsland SL, Vollmer MAC, Weber S, Zhu H, Bezancon A, Ferguson NM, Mishra S, Flaxman S, Bhatt S, Ratmann O. Age groups that sustain resurging COVID-19 epidemics in the United States. Science. 2021 03 26; 371(6536). PMID: 33531384.
      Citations: 43     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    21. Citations: 3     Fields:    
    22. Sabino EC, Buss LF, Carvalho MPS, Prete CA, Crispim MAE, Fraiji NA, Pereira RHM, Parag KV, da Silva Peixoto P, Kraemer MUG, Oikawa MK, Salomon T, Cucunuba ZM, Castro MC, de Souza Santos AA, Nascimento VH, Pereira HS, Ferguson NM, Pybus OG, Kucharski A, Busch MP, Dye C, Faria NR. Resurgence of COVID-19 in Manaus, Brazil, despite high seroprevalence. Lancet. 2021 02 06; 397(10273):452-455. PMID: 33515491.
      Citations: 213     Fields:    Translation:Humans
    23. Citations: 3     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    24. Citations: 21     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    25. Flaxman S, Mishra S, Scott J, Ferguson N, Gandy A, Bhatt S. Reply to: The effect of interventions on COVID-19. Nature. 2020 12; 588(7839):E29-E32. PMID: 33361788.
      Citations: 1     Fields:    Translation:Humans
    26. Okell LC, Verity R, Katzourakis A, Volz EM, Watson OJ, Mishra S, Walker P, Whittaker C, Donnelly CA, Riley S, Ghani AC, Gandy A, Flaxman S, Ferguson NM, Bhatt S. Host or pathogen-related factors in COVID-19 severity? - Authors' reply. Lancet. 2020 10 31; 396(10260):1397. PMID: 33129392.
      Citations:    Fields:    Translation:HumansCellsPHPublic Health
    27. Fu H, Wang H, Xi X, Boonyasiri A, Wang Y, Hinsley W, Fraser KJ, McCabe R, Olivera Mesa D, Skarp J, Ledda A, Dewé T, Dighe A, Winskill P, van Elsland SL, Ainslie KEC, Baguelin M, Bhatt S, Boyd O, Brazeau NF, Cattarino L, Charles G, Coupland H, Cucunuba ZM, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Donnelly CA, Dorigatti I, Eales OD, FitzJohn RG, Flaxman S, Gaythorpe KAM, Ghani AC, Green WD, Hamlet A, Hauck K, Haw DJ, Jeffrey B, Laydon DJ, Lees JA, Mellan T, Mishra S, Nedjati-Gilani G, Nouvellet P, Okell L, Parag KV, Ragonnet-Cronin M, Riley S, Schmit N, Thompson HA, Unwin HJT, Verity R, Vollmer MAC, Volz E, Walker PGT, Walters CE, Watson OJ, Whittaker C, Whittles LK, Imai N, Bhatia S, Ferguson NM. Database of epidemic trends and control measures during the first wave of COVID-19 in mainland China. Int J Infect Dis. 2021 Jan; 102:463-471. PMID: 33130212.
      Citations: 3     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    28. McCabe R, Schmit N, Christen P, D'Aeth JC, Løchen A, Rizmie D, Nayagam S, Miraldo M, Aylin P, Bottle A, Perez-Guzman PN, Ghani AC, Ferguson NM, White PJ, Hauck K. Adapting hospital capacity to meet changing demands during the COVID-19 pandemic. BMC Med. 2020 10 16; 18(1):329. PMID: 33066777.
      Citations: 23     Fields:    Translation:HumansCellsPHPublic Health
    29. Citations: 36     Fields:    Translation:HumansCellsPHPublic Health
    30. Citations: 29     
    31. Biggerstaff M, Cowling BJ, Cucunubá ZM, Dinh L, Ferguson NM, Gao H, Hill V, Imai N, Johansson MA, Kada S, Morgan O, Pastore Y Piontti A, Polonsky JA, Prasad PV, Quandelacy TM, Rambaut A, Tappero JW, Vandemaele KA, Vespignani A, Warmbrod KL, Wong JY. Early Insights from Statistical and Mathematical Modeling of Key Epidemiologic Parameters of COVID-19. Emerg Infect Dis. 2020 11; 26(11):e1-e14. PMID: 32917290.
      Citations: 9     Fields:    Translation:HumansCellsPHPublic Health
    32. Grassly NC, Pons-Salort M, Parker EPK, White PJ, Ferguson NM. Comparison of molecular testing strategies for COVID-19 control: a mathematical modelling study. Lancet Infect Dis. 2020 12; 20(12):1381-1389. PMID: 32822577.
      Citations: 46     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    33. Candido DS, Claro IM, de Jesus JG, Souza WM, Moreira FRR, Dellicour S, Mellan TA, du Plessis L, Pereira RHM, Sales FCS, Manuli ER, Thézé J, Almeida L, Menezes MT, Voloch CM, Fumagalli MJ, Coletti TM, da Silva CAM, Ramundo MS, Amorim MR, Hoeltgebaum HH, Mishra S, Gill MS, Carvalho LM, Buss LF, Prete CA, Ashworth J, Nakaya HI, Peixoto PS, Brady OJ, Nicholls SM, Tanuri A, Rossi ÁD, Braga CKV, Gerber AL, de C Guimarães AP, Gaburo N, Alencar CS, Ferreira ACS, Lima CX, Levi JE, Granato C, Ferreira GM, Francisco RS, Granja F, Garcia MT, Moretti ML, Perroud MW, Castiñeiras TMPP, Lazari CS, Hill SC, de Souza Santos AA, Simeoni CL, Forato J, Sposito AC, Schreiber AZ, Santos MNN, de Sá CZ, Souza RP, Resende-Moreira LC, et al. Evolution and epidemic spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil. Science. 2020 09 04; 369(6508):1255-1260. PMID: 32703910.
      Citations: 150     Fields:    Translation:HumansCellsPHPublic Health
    34. Jeffrey B, Walters CE, Ainslie KEC, Eales O, Ciavarella C, Bhatia S, Hayes S, Baguelin M, Boonyasiri A, Brazeau NF, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, FitzJohn RG, Gaythorpe K, Green W, Imai N, Mellan TA, Mishra S, Nouvellet P, Unwin HJT, Verity R, Vollmer M, Whittaker C, Ferguson NM, Donnelly CA, Riley S. Anonymised and aggregated crowd level mobility data from mobile phones suggests that initial compliance with COVID-19 social distancing interventions was high and geographically consistent across the UK. Wellcome Open Res. 2020; 5:170. PMID: 32954015.
      Citations: 13     
    35. Hogan AB, Jewell BL, Sherrard-Smith E, Vesga JF, Watson OJ, Whittaker C, Hamlet A, Smith JA, Winskill P, Verity R, Baguelin M, Lees JA, Whittles LK, Ainslie KEC, Bhatt S, Boonyasiri A, Brazeau NF, Cattarino L, Cooper LV, Coupland H, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Dighe A, Djaafara BA, Donnelly CA, Eaton JW, van Elsland SL, FitzJohn RG, Fu H, Gaythorpe KAM, Green W, Haw DJ, Hayes S, Hinsley W, Imai N, Laydon DJ, Mangal TD, Mellan TA, Mishra S, Nedjati-Gilani G, Parag KV, Thompson HA, Unwin HJT, Vollmer MAC, Walters CE, Wang H, Wang Y, Xi X, Ferguson NM, Okell LC, Churcher TS, Arinaminpathy N, Ghani AC, Walker PGT, Hallett TB. Potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on HIV, tuberculosis, and malaria in low-income and middle-income countries: a modelling study. Lancet Glob Health. 2020 09; 8(9):e1132-e1141. PMID: 32673577.
      Citations: 180     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    36. Citations: 345     Fields:    Translation:HumansCellsPHPublic Health
    37. Citations: 232     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    38. Okell LC, Verity R, Watson OJ, Mishra S, Walker P, Whittaker C, Katzourakis A, Donnelly CA, Riley S, Ghani AC, Gandy A, Flaxman S, Ferguson NM, Bhatt S. Have deaths from COVID-19 in Europe plateaued due to herd immunity? Lancet. 2020 06 20; 395(10241):e110-e111. PMID: 32534627.
      Citations: 25     Fields:    Translation:HumansCellsPHPublic Health
    39. Flaxman S, Mishra S, Gandy A, Unwin HJT, Mellan TA, Coupland H, Whittaker C, Zhu H, Berah T, Eaton JW, Monod M, Ghani AC, Donnelly CA, Riley S, Vollmer MAC, Ferguson NM, Okell LC, Bhatt S. Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature. 2020 08; 584(7820):257-261. PMID: 32512579.
      Citations: 679     Fields:    Translation:HumansPHPublic Health
    40. Verity R, Okell L, Dorigatti I, Winskill P, Whittaker C, Walker P, Donnelly C, Ferguson N, Ghani A. COVID-19 and the difficulty of inferring epidemiological parameters from clinical data - Authors' reply. Lancet Infect Dis. 2021 01; 21(1):28. PMID: 32473660.
      Citations: 4     Fields:    Translation:Humans
    41. Imai N, Gaythorpe KAM, Abbott S, Bhatia S, van Elsland S, Prem K, Liu Y, Ferguson NM. Adoption and impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19. Wellcome Open Res. 2020; 5:59. PMID: 32529040.
      Citations: 29     
    42. Verity R, Okell LC, Dorigatti I, Winskill P, Whittaker C, Imai N, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Thompson H, Walker PGT, Fu H, Dighe A, Griffin JT, Baguelin M, Bhatia S, Boonyasiri A, Cori A, Cucunubá Z, FitzJohn R, Gaythorpe K, Green W, Hamlet A, Hinsley W, Laydon D, Nedjati-Gilani G, Riley S, van Elsland S, Volz E, Wang H, Wang Y, Xi X, Donnelly CA, Ghani AC, Ferguson NM. Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis. Lancet Infect Dis. 2020 06; 20(6):669-677. PMID: 32240634.
      Citations: 1128     Fields:    Translation:HumansCellsPHPublic Health
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